Obama in YL: better off now or four years ago?
Candidate Barack Obama won just 33.4 percent of the vote in Yorba Linda in 2008, but will he be better off than he was four years ago when local voters cast ballots this year?
That’s the question I’m asking readers in an election email survey. Specifically, will the president win a greater or lesser percentage of the Yorba Linda vote in 2012 than he did in 2008, now that he’s running as an incumbent?
Email your prediction to jimdrummond@hotmail.com. Be sure to state the percentage of the Yorba Linda vote you believe Obama will win this time around, and, if you wish, say why you think he’ll get more or fewer votes from Yorba Lindans in November.
Please note that this is a survey and not a contest, and no prizes will be conferred, but the person who is closest to the actual percentage of votes Obama wins in this city on Nov. 6 can claim the prestigious title of Yorba Linda’s “top political prognosticator.”
Obama’s 2008 vote total in Yorba Linda was 11,710, while John McCain won the city with 22,328 out of 35,092 cast (63.6 percent). That’s not surprising, since Yorba Linda was then and is now the second-most Republican city in the county (behind Villa Park).
George Bush won the city in 2000 and 2004 by larger margins than McCain did in 2008. In 2000, Bush defeated Al Gore 19,068 to 8,127 out of 28,242 ballots cast in taking 67.5 percent of the vote. In 2004, Bush increased his margin over John Kerry to 71.1 percent, 23,164 to 8,617 out of 32,564 ballots cast.
Historically, the city’s largest victory margins were won by native son Richard Nixon. Nixon bested John Kennedy in 1960 (before incorporation) with 72 percent, Hubert Humphrey in 1968 with 79 percent and George McGovern in 1972 with 80 percent.
Yorba Linda’s current registration stands at 43,733: 9,400 Democrats and 24,651 Republicans, with the remainder in minor parties or “no party preference.” The figures will change, since registration for Nov. 6 doesn’t close until Oct. 22 (new residents can register as late as Oct. 30 and new citizens by 8 p.m. Nov. 6).
In another election-related item, it’s not too late to join the seven current candidates in the competition for three positions on the Yorba Linda City Council, but you’d have to campaign as a write-in candidate.
Deadline for write-in candidates to file a statement of candidacy with the county Registrar of Voters is Oct. 23 in order to have their votes tabulated. (Write-ins are not allowed for contests in which candidates were nominated in the June primary.)
Years ago, write-in votes were counted whether or not the contenders registered with the county. For Yorba Linda’s 1967 incorporation election, six write-in votes were recorded in the race involving 27 candidates for the city’s first five-member City Council.
The write-ins, all single votes, were cast for Billy Barty, Cacus (sic) Clay, Sammy Davis Jr., Dean Martin, Frank Sinatra and Nellie Smith and recorded in a Board of Supervisors resolution certifying that year’s election results.
Sample ballots and candidate statements in this year’s contest will be mailed Sept. 27-Oct. 16.
That’s the question I’m asking readers in an election email survey. Specifically, will the president win a greater or lesser percentage of the Yorba Linda vote in 2012 than he did in 2008, now that he’s running as an incumbent?
Email your prediction to jimdrummond@hotmail.com. Be sure to state the percentage of the Yorba Linda vote you believe Obama will win this time around, and, if you wish, say why you think he’ll get more or fewer votes from Yorba Lindans in November.
Please note that this is a survey and not a contest, and no prizes will be conferred, but the person who is closest to the actual percentage of votes Obama wins in this city on Nov. 6 can claim the prestigious title of Yorba Linda’s “top political prognosticator.”
Obama’s 2008 vote total in Yorba Linda was 11,710, while John McCain won the city with 22,328 out of 35,092 cast (63.6 percent). That’s not surprising, since Yorba Linda was then and is now the second-most Republican city in the county (behind Villa Park).
George Bush won the city in 2000 and 2004 by larger margins than McCain did in 2008. In 2000, Bush defeated Al Gore 19,068 to 8,127 out of 28,242 ballots cast in taking 67.5 percent of the vote. In 2004, Bush increased his margin over John Kerry to 71.1 percent, 23,164 to 8,617 out of 32,564 ballots cast.
Historically, the city’s largest victory margins were won by native son Richard Nixon. Nixon bested John Kennedy in 1960 (before incorporation) with 72 percent, Hubert Humphrey in 1968 with 79 percent and George McGovern in 1972 with 80 percent.
Yorba Linda’s current registration stands at 43,733: 9,400 Democrats and 24,651 Republicans, with the remainder in minor parties or “no party preference.” The figures will change, since registration for Nov. 6 doesn’t close until Oct. 22 (new residents can register as late as Oct. 30 and new citizens by 8 p.m. Nov. 6).
In another election-related item, it’s not too late to join the seven current candidates in the competition for three positions on the Yorba Linda City Council, but you’d have to campaign as a write-in candidate.
Deadline for write-in candidates to file a statement of candidacy with the county Registrar of Voters is Oct. 23 in order to have their votes tabulated. (Write-ins are not allowed for contests in which candidates were nominated in the June primary.)
Years ago, write-in votes were counted whether or not the contenders registered with the county. For Yorba Linda’s 1967 incorporation election, six write-in votes were recorded in the race involving 27 candidates for the city’s first five-member City Council.
The write-ins, all single votes, were cast for Billy Barty, Cacus (sic) Clay, Sammy Davis Jr., Dean Martin, Frank Sinatra and Nellie Smith and recorded in a Board of Supervisors resolution certifying that year’s election results.
Sample ballots and candidate statements in this year’s contest will be mailed Sept. 27-Oct. 16.
posted by Jim Drummond at 12:00 PM
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